How to play the daily FHG List

Modified on Wed, 14 Jun, 2023 at 1:47 PM

Intro:


I’m conscious that I’m posting the lists each day and not really telling you how I play them so here goes…


I’ve been putting together these lists for my own use for quite some time now to keep the number of bets down, filter out the lower % games and reduce the amount of time looking at betting & stat sites. It's taken a long time to get to this level of discipline but for me it works & means I’m not constantly looking at the betting apps.


Do I miss some games? Yes I do but it means I’m concentrating on a smaller number of games rather than continuously placing bets.


Am I bothered about the ones I’ve missed? Nope I decided not to add them to the list for a reason. I’ve not meant to have a bet on it so I’ve missed nothing.


The games on the list are where I think there will be at least one first half goal (FHG) based on stats & how they’ve returned for me historically. I tend to stay away from cup games as they’re difficult to find patterns & you never know what starting XI is picked. Hopefully some of you will start to look into why I’ve picked these games and be able to find your own value and strategy. There’s some real consistency and value away from the mainstream leagues/teams.


So, how do I play them?

There’s no right or wrong to be honest and comes down to what strategy you find suits you & your time allowance best. Personally I only play 1u per game as it reduces the risk.


For me it's purely dependent on time due to work commitments and there are several ways of playing that 1u game. Ideally you’re looking for odds of 1.8s or above to churn consistent profit.


If the odds are there pre match for over 1 FHG & I’m short on time I’ll look to place 1u on that line and then just forget about it & wait for the notifications to come through. Take a look at the asian lines as there can be some decent pre match odds there.


If the odds aren’t there pre match I’ll look at kick off (FHGL & alternative FHGL) and make a decision as to whether or not to play at that time based on odds and previous goal times.


If you look at the lists at the end of the day you will see I’ve added goal times. This is so I can start to find a pattern of roughly when a goal is more likely to come.


For example, Goa tends to see a goal around the 20 minute mark so I’ll look before the game to see what the odds are and if low or only offering over 1.5 FHGs I’ll leave it and shortly before the 20 minute mark I’ll look to see what the odds are then. They’ll be better than the first offer and will give me a better return. For instance in the pic below there’s better value at 20 minutes for Al Sadd than there was at kick off.



You could look to split your 1u total stake by placing 1/2u on FHGL at the odds you’re happy with and then time dependant look to place the remaining 1/2u on 0.5 FHGs if no goal by say 25/30 minutes. It's likely at this time odds for 0.5 could be well north of evens and then means if a goal comes in you’ve made profit on 0.5 & refund on FHGL. If 2 goals your in

profit on both. If no goal you’re still only 1u down although you’ve placed two bets.


If the odds are lower than the 1.8s threshold I’ll look to doubling up two games to produce an over evens bet as per the picture below & again only place 1u. Any combination of games with odds of 1.40 or above will give you an evens or above bet. These work especially well for over 0.5 FHGs where in most cases the odds will be low and the risk lower.


Lastly from me if you’re not already bored and have stopped reading, this isn’t about a quick money making scheme, this is about long term, consistent, tax free profit. In February using average odds of 2.06 I returned an average of 6u per day, 5 days a week. Over a year that adds up to a tidy number.


I use different bookies to find the best markets/value for the same games 2.5s on Sky could be 2.67s on 365, etc.


Most importantly, withdraw regularly and use it for things you want to do, meals out, holidays, etc.


It ain’t your money unless its in your own bank account.


Good luck all


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